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Monday, January 24, 2005

BBC NEWS | Business | Poll 'shows world economic gloom'

BBC NEWS | Business | Poll 'shows world economic gloom'

Poll 'shows world economic gloom'
A majority of people surveyed in a BBC World Service poll believe the world economy is getting worse.

Most respondents also said their national economy was getting worse.

But when asked about their own family's financial outlook, a majority in 14 countries said they were positive about the future.

Almost 23,000 people in 22 countries were questioned for the poll, which was completed mostly before the Asian tsunami disaster.

The poll found, on average, 44% said the world economy was getting worse, compared to only 34%.

Similarly, 48% said their national economy is getting worse, while another 41% said it is getting better.

And 47% saw their family's economic conditions as getting better (against 36%, who said it was getting worse).

The poll of 22,953 people was conducted by the international polling firm GlobeScan together with the Program on International Policy Attitudes (Pipa) at the University of Maryland.

"While the world economy has picked up from difficult times just a few years ago, people seem to not have fully absorbed this development, though they are personally experiencing its effects," said Pipa director Steven Kull.

"People around the world are saying: 'I'm OK, but the world isn't'."

There may be a perception that war, terrorism and religious and political divisions are making the world a worse place, even though that has not so far been reflected in global economic performance, says the BBC's Elizabeth Blunt.

From buoyant to gloomy

The most optimistic about both the world and respondents' families were two fast-growing developing economies, China and India, followed by Indonesia.

China has seen two decades of blistering economic growth, which has led to wealth creation on a huge scale, says the BBC's Louisa Lim in Beijing.

But the results also may reflect the untrammelled confidence of people who are subject to endless government propaganda about their country's rosy economic future, our correspondent says.

South Korea was the most pessimistic, while respondents in Italy and Mexico were also quite gloomy.

The BBC's David Willey in Rome says one reason for that result is the changeover from the lira to the euro in 2001, which is widely viewed as the biggest single reason why their wages and salaries are worth less than they used to be.

The Philippines was among the most upbeat about respondent families, but was one of the most pessimistic about the world economy.

Pipa conducted the poll from 15 November 2004 to 3 January 2005 across 22 countries in face-to-face or telephone interviews.

The interviews took place between 15 November 2004 and 5 January 2005.

The margin of error is between 2.5 and 4 points, depending on the country.

In eight of the countries the sample was limited to major metropolitan areas.
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